Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
Live
Yes
31.0 % chance
No
69.0 % chance
$679.20
14
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 31.0 %chance
- Yes 31.0¢ · No 69.0¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
31.0¢
Yes price now
8.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
11
Top holders
- Do…orYes1,390
- An…meNo510.4
- A…VYes497.6
- Wa…rHNo220.3
- Lu…ysNo160.3
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…