Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Live
Yes
79.5 % chance
No
20.5 % chance
$8.6K
50
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 79.5 %chance
- Yes 79.5¢ · No 20.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
70.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
79.5¢
Yes price now
8.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
64
Smart money
42
Top holders
- an…23Yes5,987
- po…eeYes4,162
- Pr…ieYes2,545
- ci…esYes1,288
- Cb…edNo2,000
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