Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?
Live
Yes
12.5 % chance
No
87.5 % chance
$2.7K
20
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 18:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.5 %chance
- Yes 12.5¢ · No 87.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
24.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.5¢
Yes price now
12.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
19
Top holders
- 0x…nnYes1,367
- Vi…axNo550
- ba…arNo540
- fo…5mNo343.6
- AB…21No304
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