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Weather · WarsawWarsaw Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 15?

Live · started Oct 14 22:00 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$298.54
20

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Mi…MANo120.2
  • Lu…ysNo59.7
  • Vi…axNo38.4
  • 1D…TDNo26
  • mu…erNo22.3

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank