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Weather · WarsawWarsaw Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 1?

Live · started Oct 30 04:56 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$511.01
12

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 1? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

13.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
13.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • 1D…TDNo139.4
  • Lu…ysNo105.1
  • ha…ayNo90
  • mi…27No30
  • Ex…anNo21.4

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 1? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank