World · Global elections
Question
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?
Live
Yes
53.5 % chance
No
46.5 % chance
$1.1K
40
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 53.5 %chance
- Yes 53.5¢ · No 46.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
59.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
55.5¢
Yes price now
4.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
76
Smart money
33
Top holders
- b…sYes413
- ev…erYes351.1
- Lu…ysNo264.2
- fr…e1Yes185
- Ma…74Yes170
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