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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes
95.0 % chance
No
5.0 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

KS-04 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 95.0 %chance
  • Yes 95.0¢ · No 5.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

90.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.5¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • ma…ksYes1,300
  • Ta…nkYes868
  • Pr…ieYes788.6
  • Si…eeNo1,995
  • G…dYes434

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Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank