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Weather · BeijingBeijing Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21?

Live · started Oct 19 04:57 UTC

Yes
7.0 % chance
No
93.0 % chance
$947.60
43

Trading opened Oct 19, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 21, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 21? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 7.0 %chance
  • Yes 7.0¢ · No 93.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

16.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.0¢
Yes price now
9.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
87
Smart money
35

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo301.2
  • Vi…axNo237.7
  • h…vNo212.8
  • AnonymousYes460.1
  • 24…32Yes201

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Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank