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WorldLula Vote Share?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)

Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Live

Yes
15.5 % chance
No
84.5 % chance
$1.3K
16

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 18:13 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 5, 2026 02:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Yes15.5¢
  • No84.5¢
  • 1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.5¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
12

Top holders

  • Ja…osNo579
  • AnonymousYes425.1
  • me…48No110
  • Lu…ysNo79.2
  • UN…reNo72

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Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank