World · Global elections
Question
Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?
Live
Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$1.2K
25
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.1 %chance
- Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
19
Top holders
- no…90No2,915
- gu…23No2,000
- No…amNo1,454
- Ne…esNo594.5
- mi…99Yes4,343
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