Politics · US elections
Question
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 50% by March 31?
Live
Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$2.1K
13
Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 23:16 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.5 %chance
- Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
38
Smart money
11
Top holders
- Ma…ajNo481.8
- xt…meYes217.9
- tr…e1No72
- li…erNo50
- Fr…alYes152
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