Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Neg Risk Weekly
Question
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 9?
Live
Yes
22.4 % chance
No
77.6 % chance
$265.11
75
Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 16:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 9, 2026 16:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 22.4 %chance
- Yes 22.4¢ · No 77.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
22.2¢
Yes price now
19.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
80
Smart money
16
Top holders
- AnonymousNo496.4
- co…peNo472.9
- a…rNo270.5
- Im…akYes602.4
- av…anYes674.8
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