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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 15?

Live · started Oct 14 15:00 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$84.64
7

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
4.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • NY…54No61.1
  • ye…ppNo41.5
  • Ou…utYes40
  • Pu…erNo9.1
  • Kn…shNo5.1

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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank