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Politics · Middle EastIran

Question

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?

Live

Yes
13.0 % chance
No
87.0 % chance
$29.1K
36

Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 17:44 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 13.0 %chance
  • Yes 13.0¢ · No 87.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.0¢
Yes price now
1.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
107
Smart money
26

Top holders

  • ti…leNo20,792
  • ti…inYes25,609
  • ji…hiNo9,767
  • an…anNo7,123
  • m…1No6,771

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US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank