Politics · Middle EastGaza
Question
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes
7.0 % chance
No
93.0 % chance
$12.1K
6
Trading opened Jun 30, 2026 21:16 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.0 %chance
- Yes 7.0¢ · No 93.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
50.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.0¢
Yes price now
43.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
3
Top holders
- ka…otNo42,800
- yu…52No40,369
- AnonymousYes20,256
- e…hNo19,646
- Va…shYes18,296
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