Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?
Live
Yes
12.6 % chance
No
87.4 % chance
$1.5K
24
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.6 %chance
- Yes 12.6¢ · No 87.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
15.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.6¢
Yes price now
2.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
46
Smart money
23
Top holders
- vi…20Yes1,000
- Lu…ysNo359.6
- Ju…reNo353.5
- Re…ekYes500.5
- do…meNo164.6
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