Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics
Question
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
30.5 % chance
No
69.5 % chance
$8.1K
6
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 15:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 30.5 %chance
- Yes 30.5¢ · No 69.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
34.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
30.0¢
Yes price now
4.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
4
Top holders
- da…zsYes26,000
- re…egNo10,500
- me…ihNo8,500
- sh…erNo7,000
- ba…ugNo180.1
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