Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
31.1 % chance
No
68.9 % chance
$3.5K
32
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 31.1 %chance
- Yes 31.1¢ · No 68.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
31.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
31.1¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
72
Smart money
28
Top holders
- l…bNo1,151
- Al…ooYes1,511
- Ad…stNo795
- Gi…ngNo770.5
- C…rYes953.8
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