World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Live
Yes
23.0 % chance
No
77.0 % chance
$1.6K
18
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 23.0 %chance
- Yes 23.0¢ · No 77.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
23.0¢
Yes price now
7.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
13
Top holders
- ba…arNo1,469
- Pr…heYes2,549
- me…48No535
- pu…daNo500
- Jo…92Yes557.3
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