World · Global elections
Question
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
Live
Yes
12.1 % chance
No
87.9 % chance
$3.3K
30
Trading opened Sep 23, 2026 20:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 23:59 UTC
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory → all 10 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.1 %chance
- Yes 12.1¢ · No 87.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.8¢
Yes price now
7.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
23
Top holders
- Xu…ngNo3,664
- AnonymousYes7,779
- v…iNo918.1
- Mi…chNo813.8
- do…meNo322.9
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