Weather · Earthquakes
Question
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 9.0 or above?
Live
Yes
3.8 % chance
No
96.2 % chance
$155.34
5
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 14:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 7, 2027 16:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.8 %chance
- Yes 3.8¢ · No 96.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.8¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
3
Top holders
- My…iaNo81.6
- Vi…axNo80
- Ju…reNo50.9
- AnonymousNo27
- Ad…stNo24
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