World · Ukraine & RussiazelenskyyUkraine cede territory
Question
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Live
Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$7.5K
8
Trading opened Nov 13, 2025 21:38 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.5 %chance
- Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
23.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
18.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
4
Top holders
- c…sNo87,047
- Kr…erNo37,101
- Mi…neYes37,104
- sh…usNo16,264
- HO…alYes42,691
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