Weather · Earthquakes
Question
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.8 – 8.9?
Live
Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$157.32
4
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 14:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 7, 2027 16:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.9 %chance
- Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
2
Top holders
- Vi…axNo80
- e…3No70
- My…iaNo67.8
- sm…ptNo40
- AnonymousNo40.3
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