Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 15%-20%?
Live
Yes
49.0 % chance
No
51.0 % chance
$44.45
2
Trading opened Sep 2, 2026 19:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 12:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 49.0 %chance
- Yes 49.0¢ · No 51.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
49.0¢
Yes price now
47.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- go…94No45
- xt…meYes35.2
- 44…enYes9.8
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