Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Neg Risk Weekly
Question
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9?
Live
Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$63.74
5
Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 16:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 9, 2026 16:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.5 %chance
- Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.0¢
Yes price now
23.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Im…akNo125.8
- Wo…omYes71.4
- co…peYes61.2
- a…3No20
- Im…akYes20
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