Politics · US electionsTrump
Question
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?
Live
Yes
67.7 % chance
No
32.3 % chance
$1.6K
33
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 67.7 %chance
- Yes 67.7¢ · No 32.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
33.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
67.7¢
Yes price now
33.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
101
Smart money
28
Top holders
- ba…arYes2,309
- Lu…ysNo708.1
- Ja…thYes646
- Pr…ieNo485.5
- ma…ksYes495
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