Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?
Live
Yes
97.8 % chance
No
2.2 % chance
$7.5K
56
Trading opened Aug 6, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 97.8 %chance
- Yes 97.8¢ · No 2.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
97.8¢
Yes price now
68.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
156
Smart money
35
Top holders
- Vo…77Yes2,843
- Tr…laNo2,686
- Ga…ioNo2,500
- co…lsNo1,751
- ti…erYes2,242
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