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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 55%-60%?

Live

Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$3.18
2

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.5 %chance
  • Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.5¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo171.9
  • Ba…cyYes418.8
  • Vi…axNo60
  • go…94No60
  • ba…arNo51

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 55%-60%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank