Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Svitle by December 31?
Live
Yes
99.2 % chance
No
0.8 % chance
$9.7K
28
Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 20:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 99.2 %chance
- Yes 99.2¢ · No 0.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
68.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.2¢
Yes price now
30.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
19
Top holders
- Ni…roYes3,392
- Du…MFYes1,945
- AnonymousYes1,174
- B…zNo3,146
- Ga…ioNo1,000
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