CryptoBitcoin Neg Risk Weekly
Bitcoin price on October 4?
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 4?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$134.63
2
Trading opened Sep 27, 2026 16:00 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 4, 2026 16:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- Yes0.3¢
- No99.7¢
- 1D: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- 0x…52No4,707
- bt…13Yes4,762
- AnonymousNo18.9
- gm…mgYes32.8
- Ju…reYes76.9
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Connect to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.