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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%?

Live

Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$916.78
21

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 19:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.5 %chance
  • Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.5¢
Yes price now
3.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • re…26Yes2,000
  • Lu…ysNo380.6
  • Vi…axNo244
  • Le…04No200.2
  • Pr…ieNo160

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank