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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 17?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
24.0 % chance
No
76.0 % chance
$794.82
39

Trading opened Oct 15, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 17, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 17? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 24.0 %chance
  • Yes 24.0¢ · No 76.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

32.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.0¢
Yes price now
8.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
64
Smart money
29

Top holders

  • he…67Yes422.6
  • Qa…stNo240
  • cl…dyNo212.2
  • AnonymousNo122.3
  • Ko…iyNo100

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 17? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank