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Politics · Ukraine & RussiaNATO

Question

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Live · started Sep 23 23:44 UTC

Yes
17.5 % chance
No
82.5 % chance
$209.0K
307

Trading opened Jul 26, 2026 22:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

NATO x Russia military clash by...? → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 17.5 %chance
  • Yes 17.5¢ · No 82.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
17.5¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
815
Smart money
175

Top holders

  • Sl…anNo193,634
  • te…seYes242,738
  • AnonymousNo80,893
  • SD…ngNo76,259
  • be…ckYes205,000

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NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank