Politics · Ukraine & RussiaNATO
Question
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Live · started Sep 23 23:44 UTC
Yes
17.5 % chance
No
82.5 % chance
$209.0K
307
Trading opened Jul 26, 2026 22:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 17.5 %chance
- Yes 17.5¢ · No 82.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
17.5¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
815
Smart money
175
Top holders
- Sl…anNo193,634
- te…seYes242,738
- AnonymousNo80,893
- SD…ngNo76,259
- be…ckYes205,000
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