Politics · US elections
Question
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
Live
Yes
11.5 % chance
No
88.5 % chance
$1.00
2
Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 22:44 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 31, 2026 16:00 UTC
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 11.5 %chance
- Yes 11.5¢ · No 88.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
15.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
11.5¢
Yes price now
3.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
0
Top holders
- do…meNo589.5
- Sn…onYes1,349
- ba…arNo470
- Vi…axNo212
- gm…mgNo193.4
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