Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Live
Yes
26.5 % chance
No
73.5 % chance
$750.92
17
Trading opened Sep 28, 2026 17:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 26.5 %chance
- Yes 26.5¢ · No 73.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
26.5¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Go…koNo1,278
- 88…12No1,254
- Va…n9Yes2,103
- Me…imYes1,800
- Ar…lyNo981.2
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