Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?
Live
Yes
76.5 % chance
No
23.5 % chance
$2.3K
43
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 76.5 %chance
- Yes 76.5¢ · No 23.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
83.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
76.5¢
Yes price now
7.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
66
Smart money
24
Top holders
- an…23Yes4,986
- ga…y-No5,365
- Ga…maYes2,310
- ci…esYes1,051
- ma…ksYes640
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