Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
9.0 % chance
No
91.0 % chance
$421.10
4
Trading opened Jul 8, 2026 15:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 9.0 %chance
- Yes 9.0¢ · No 91.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
25.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.0¢
Yes price now
16.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
3
Top holders
- Co…erNo9,237
- an…ckNo5,119
- St…erYes8,811
- Do…loYes6,715
- Ga…ioNo3,481
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