Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live
Yes
55.0 % chance
No
45.0 % chance
$1.9K
26
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 55.0 %chance
- Yes 55.0¢ · No 45.0¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
57.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
55.0¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
55
Smart money
22
Top holders
- C…rYes2,537
- l…bNo1,308
- pu…daYes981.3
- Ad…stNo795
- Go…neNo770.5
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…