Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
35.5 % chance
No
64.5 % chance
$47.4K
17
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 16:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 35.5 %chance
- Yes 35.5¢ · No 64.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
39.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
35.5¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
8
Top holders
- al…OnNo10,109
- C…rYes10,630
- ke…ovNo5,551
- W…SNo5,014
- ya…ovNo5,024
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