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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?

Live

Yes
64.0 % chance
No
36.0 % chance
$2.4K
39

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

NC-09 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 64.0 %chance
  • Yes 64.0¢ · No 36.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

79.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
64.0¢
Yes price now
15.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
73
Smart money
35

Top holders

  • de…esYes1,000
  • ba…arNo1,196
  • Sm…lyYes588
  • GU…23Yes600
  • ci…esYes513.5

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Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank