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Weather · IstanbulIstanbul Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?

Live · started Oct 6 21:00 UTC

Yes
38.5 % chance
No
61.5 % chance
$496.17
43

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 04:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 7, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 7? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 38.5 %chance
  • Yes 38.5¢ · No 61.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

33.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.5¢
Yes price now
5.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
54
Smart money
36

Top holders

  • fi…roYes1,106
  • h…vNo427.6
  • Bo…ugYes229.8
  • Sp…wlNo147.7
  • Lu…ysNo158.2

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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank