Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
22.5 % chance
No
77.5 % chance
$1.5K
8
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 23:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 22.5 %chance
- Yes 22.5¢ · No 77.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
25.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
22.5¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Ar…tsNo6,745
- Kr…erNo4,550
- C…rYes7,344
- Go…rsNo3,800
- Lo…isYes5,405
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