World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Live
Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$83.89
6
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.8 %chance
- Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
5
Top holders
- p…iNo100
- Lu…ysNo65
- ba…arNo50
- ha…ayNo30
- Vi…axNo30
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