Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
Live
Yes
24.0 % chance
No
76.0 % chance
$30.4K
44
Trading opened Oct 27, 2026 00:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 24.0 %chance
- Yes 24.0¢ · No 76.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.0¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
69
Smart money
25
Top holders
- ju…eiYes33,318
- t…iNo10,293
- ch…anNo9,951
- ch…eiNo9,510
- Ra…llNo6,015
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