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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 9%-12%?

Live

Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$744.88
24

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.5 %chance
  • Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.9¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
21

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo367.1
  • kS…tjYes586
  • go…94No195
  • Ha…thNo200
  • xt…meYes377.4

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 9%-12%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank