Tech · AI
Question
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 16, 2026?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$214.59
6
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 17, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
5.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
5
Top holders
- no…erNo95
- mi…ktNo50
- A…VYes105.8
- e…3No32.8
- Ja…deNo26
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