Politics · Economy & the FedTrump
Question
Will there be no government shutdown by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
13.5 % chance
No
86.5 % chance
$1.9K
20
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 13.5 %chance
- Yes 13.5¢ · No 86.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
25.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.5¢
Yes price now
11.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
14
Top holders
- Zh…CDNo1,279
- Ai…rdYes634.1
- Pi…wgNo132.6
- Gu…erYes138
- xt…meYes148
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