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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 20%-25%?

Live

Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$358.09
7

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.8 %chance
  • Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.8¢
Yes price now
4.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • mi…27No170
  • Lu…ysNo110.1
  • ci…esNo60
  • A…VYes269.5
  • do…meNo50.3

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 20%-25%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank