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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$1.2K
13

Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
12

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo473.8
  • do…meNo431.6
  • qu…elNo321
  • Vi…axNo218.2
  • mi…27No147

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Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank