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Politics · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

Live

Yes
10.0 % chance
No
90.0 % chance
$574.88
17

Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 10.0 %chance
  • Yes 10.0¢ · No 90.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.0¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • Th…evNo4,917
  • 0x…41No3,394
  • ki…loNo3,200
  • no…90No2,711
  • La…kaNo2,322

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank